Spezia U19 vs Livorno U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.1%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
8.5%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
MOD
2 - 1
SPE
21%
23%
55%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
SPE
1 - 1
GEN
45%
24%
30%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
JUV
4 - 0
SPE
68%
18%
13%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
SPE
0 - 2
SAM
43%
24%
32%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Livorno U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
LIV
0 - 2
PCZ
17%
22%
62%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
BRE
4 - 1
LIV
82%
13%
6%
|
17 | 44 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
PAR
1 - 0
LIV
77%
15%
8%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
LIV
1 - 2
MOD
56%
22%
22%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | -1 |