Spezia U19 vs Imolese U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
15.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
3º
12º
6º
33
6º
15º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
80.5% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 51 |
4º
|
80.5% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 50 |
5º
|
69% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 46 |
6º
|
69% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
79.5% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
79% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
79% | |
|
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
77% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
48% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
63% | |
|
15º
|
28 | 29 |
15º
|
21% | |
|
16º
|
27 | 28 |
16º
|
58% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
18% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
82% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
SPE
1 - 0
PIS
51%
22%
27%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
PES
1 - 5
SPE
44%
23%
34%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
SPE
1 - 4
REG
76%
14%
10%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
VIR
4 - 1
SPE
39%
24%
38%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
SPE
2 - 4
ASC
46%
23%
31%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Imolese U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
IMC
0 - 1
MNP
53%
21%
26%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
IMC
2 - 0
USV
46%
22%
32%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
LAZ
2 - 1
IMC
80%
12%
8%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
IMC
0 - 1
ASC
22%
20%
58%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
PIS
1 - 0
IMC
49%
22%
28%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |