Spezia U19 vs Genoa U19 analysis


28	ELO	30
-1.2%	Tilt	0.6%
9587º	General ELO ranking	7703º
322º	Country ELO ranking	250º
ELO win probability

45.3%

Spezia U19

24.3%

Draw

30.4%

Genoa U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

45.3%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%

24.3%

Draw

0-0

5.4%

1-1

11.4%

2-2

5.9%

3-3

1.4%

4-4

0.2%

5-5

<0%

0

24.3%

30.4%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%