Spezia U19 vs Fiorentina U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
62.5%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2014 |
SPE
1 - 3
TOR
22%
26%
52%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
SAS
2 - 0
SPE
38%
23%
39%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
SPE
0 - 1
NOV
42%
24%
34%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
EMP
5 - 0
SPE
51%
22%
26%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -2 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
SPE
0 - 2
SAM
47%
24%
30%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Fiorentina U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2014 |
FIO
2 - 2
LAT
88%
9%
4%
|
45 | 10 | 35 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 2
FIO
11%
17%
72%
|
44 | 20 | 24 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
FIO
3 - 0
NAP
74%
17%
10%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2014 |
FIO
2 - 4
LAZ
43%
24%
32%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -2 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
LAZ
1 - 1
FIO
56%
21%
23%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |