Spezia U19 vs Fiorentina U19 analysis

Spezia U19 Fiorentina U19
33 ELO 44
-7.1% Tilt 4%
6141º General ELO ranking 5671º
300º Country ELO ranking 275º
ELO win probability
20.2%
Spezia U19
22.9%
Draw
57%
Fiorentina U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.2%
Win probability
Spezia U19
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
57%
Win probability
Fiorentina U19
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Spezia U19
-15%
-9%
Fiorentina U19

ELO progression

Spezia U19
Fiorentina U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Spezia U19
Spezia U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Apr. 2013
PAR
Parma U19
1 - 1
Spezia U19
SPE
50%
23%
28%
30 32 2 0
07 Apr. 2013
SPE
Spezia U19
2 - 0
Cagliari U19
CAG
48%
23%
29%
29 27 2 +1
03 Apr. 2013
GEN
Genoa U19
1 - 1
Spezia U19
SPE
62%
20%
18%
28 38 10 +1
23 Mar. 2013
SPE
Spezia U19
0 - 4
Siena U19
SIE
59%
22%
19%
30 25 5 -2
15 Mar. 2013
SPE
Spezia U19
0 - 1
Pro Vercelli U19
PRO
64%
20%
17%
31 23 8 -1

Matches

Fiorentina U19
Fiorentina U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Apr. 2013
FIO
Fiorentina U19
2 - 0
Torino U19
TOR
51%
25%
24%
44 44 0 0
06 Apr. 2013
SIE
Siena U19
2 - 3
Fiorentina U19
FIO
13%
20%
67%
44 27 17 0
03 Apr. 2013
FIO
Fiorentina U19
2 - 1
Novara U19
NOV
69%
18%
12%
43 31 12 +1
16 Mar. 2013
LIV
Livorno U19
0 - 5
Fiorentina U19
FIO
19%
23%
59%
42 29 13 +1
09 Mar. 2013
FIO
Fiorentina U19
2 - 1
Empoli U19
EMP
65%
21%
14%
42 33 9 0