Spezia U17 vs Napoli U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
37.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
+119%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
5º
12º
12º
25
8º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 32 |
6º
|
38.5% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 32 |
7º
|
38.5% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 28 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
13 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 3 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
MOD
2 - 1
SPE
29%
22%
49%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
SPE
1 - 1
PAR
51%
22%
26%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
BOL
1 - 1
SPE
71%
17%
12%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SPE
3 - 3
FIO
21%
22%
57%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
TOR
2 - 2
SPE
34%
24%
43%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
NAP
1 - 3
PIS
69%
17%
14%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
SAS
3 - 0
NAP
28%
23%
49%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
NAP
0 - 2
JUV
18%
20%
63%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
GEN
2 - 2
NAP
57%
21%
21%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
REG
2 - 4
NAP
11%
17%
73%
|
27 | 13 | 14 | +1 |