Spezia U17 vs Genoa U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.2%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
62.8%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
5º
12º
12º
47
1º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
47 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 32 |
6º
|
38.5% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 32 |
7º
|
38.5% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 28 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
13 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 3 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
NAP
3 - 2
SPE
34%
23%
43%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
SPE
5 - 0
MOD
80%
13%
7%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
PAR
5 - 2
SPE
61%
20%
20%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
SPE
1 - 1
BOL
16%
20%
64%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
FIO
4 - 1
SPE
75%
15%
10%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Genoa U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
GEN
3 - 2
PIS
78%
13%
9%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
SAS
1 - 2
GEN
17%
21%
62%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
GEN
2 - 2
JUV
28%
22%
50%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
NAP
0 - 5
GEN
20%
22%
58%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
GEN
2 - 1
MOD
87%
9%
4%
|
33 | 15 | 18 | 0 |