Spezia U17 vs Carrarese sub 17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
12.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
+198%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
4º
11º
11º
9
8º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 57 |
1º
|
94.5% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 48 |
2º
|
63% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 46 |
3º
|
53% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 39 |
4º
|
35% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 37 |
5º
|
31% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 37 |
6º
|
24.5% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 33 |
7º
|
34% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 29 |
8º
|
34.5% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 28 |
9º
|
23% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 26 |
10º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
15 | 23 |
11º
|
41.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
9 | 14 |
12º
|
63.5% | |
|
13º
|
7 | 11 |
13º
|
74% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
JUV
5 - 0
SPE
84%
11%
6%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
SPE
0 - 0
CES
21%
20%
59%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
GEN
2 - 1
SPE
75%
15%
10%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
SPE
1 - 1
TOR
23%
22%
55%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
SPE
1 - 1
REG
69%
17%
14%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Carrarese sub 17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 2
REG
51%
21%
28%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 2
TOR
17%
19%
64%
|
15 | 36 | 21 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
SAS
5 - 0
CAR
77%
14%
9%
|
15 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
PAR
5 - 1
CAR
79%
13%
8%
|
15 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 1
BOL
11%
15%
74%
|
10 | 39 | 29 | +5 |