Spezia U17 vs Bologna U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
64%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.9%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
5º
12º
12º
45
1º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 32 |
6º
|
38.5% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 32 |
7º
|
38.5% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 28 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
13 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 3 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
FIO
4 - 1
SPE
75%
15%
10%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
SPE
0 - 2
TOR
57%
22%
22%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
SPE
0 - 2
SMP
63%
20%
17%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
EMP
2 - 2
SPE
37%
23%
40%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
SPE
1 - 2
PIS
64%
18%
18%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
BOL
2 - 1
PIS
81%
12%
7%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
SAS
0 - 1
BOL
18%
21%
61%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2022 |
JUV
1 - 1
BOL
61%
19%
20%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
BOL
6 - 1
GEN
41%
23%
36%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +2 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
NAP
1 - 6
BOL
26%
23%
51%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | +2 |