Spennymoor Town vs Curzon Ashton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
16.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spennymoor Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
BRA
4 - 1
SPE
48%
24%
27%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
SPE
5 - 0
ASH
46%
23%
31%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
HER
0 - 3
SPE
58%
22%
20%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +2 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
WIT
2 - 1
SPE
35%
24%
41%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
SPE
3 - 1
NUN
62%
21%
18%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Curzon Ashton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
CUR
2 - 1
AFC
46%
26%
29%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
LEA
0 - 1
CUR
55%
22%
23%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
CUR
1 - 2
SOU
48%
24%
29%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
CUR
1 - 3
BOS
44%
25%
31%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
RAD
1 - 2
CUR
33%
24%
43%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |