Spennymoor Town vs Barwell analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
11%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spennymoor Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2018 |
SPE
1 - 3
STO
49%
24%
27%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
ALF
1 - 7
SPE
24%
23%
54%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
SPE
8 - 2
HAL
73%
18%
9%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
GUI
1 - 1
SPE
32%
24%
44%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
CHO
1 - 2
SPE
48%
25%
27%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Barwell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
STR
2 - 1
BAR
56%
22%
22%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
HIT
2 - 0
BAR
28%
24%
48%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -2 |
| 27 Nov. 2018 |
BAR
3 - 3
STA
42%
26%
32%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
STA
1 - 1
BAR
46%
24%
30%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2018 |
HAL
0 - 2
BAR
42%
24%
34%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |