Spelthorne Sports vs Horley Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
39.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spelthorne Sports
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
SPE
1 - 4
FLE
18%
18%
64%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
EPS
1 - 2
SPE
35%
22%
43%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
COB
3 - 2
SPE
51%
22%
28%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
SPE
3 - 1
TAD
17%
19%
64%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | +2 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
TAD
3 - 0
SPE
76%
14%
10%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Horley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
HOR
0 - 2
RED
27%
21%
53%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
HOR
0 - 3
JBF
17%
19%
64%
|
15 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
HOR
2 - 3
KNA
29%
22%
49%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
EPS
1 - 4
HOR
28%
21%
52%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2024 |
TAD
1 - 1
HOR
69%
17%
15%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | +1 |