Spelle-Venhaus vs BW Papenburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.9%
13%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
77
1º
9º
1º
24
6º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
77 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 74 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
56 | 59 |
5º
|
64% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
6º
|
64% | |
|
6º
|
56 | 56 |
7º
|
84% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
45 | 45 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
38 | 38 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
31 | 31 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
29 | 29 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
|
18º
|
24 | 24 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spelle-Venhaus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
ROT
1 - 1
SVE
16%
20%
64%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
SVE
3 - 1
RAE
68%
17%
15%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
SCH
4 - 3
SVE
22%
20%
58%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
SVE
3 - 1
TSV
81%
12%
7%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
AHO
1 - 1
SVE
54%
21%
25%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
BW Papenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
BWP
0 - 0
HEE
29%
22%
48%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
FTB
2 - 2
BWP
22%
20%
59%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
BWP
2 - 2
HSC
56%
20%
24%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
LSK
1 - 2
BWP
55%
21%
24%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
BWP
2 - 2
VFL
31%
21%
48%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |