Spelle-Venhaus vs Arminia Hannover analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.1%
Win probability
3.07
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13%
9.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+87%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
77
1º
9º
1º
43
10º
18º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
77 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 74 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
56 | 59 |
5º
|
64% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
6º
|
64% | |
|
6º
|
56 | 56 |
7º
|
84% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
45 | 45 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
38 | 38 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
31 | 31 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
29 | 29 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
24 | 24 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spelle-Venhaus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
LUP
1 - 2
SVE
40%
23%
36%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SVE
4 - 6
MEC
75%
14%
11%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2022 |
TUB
1 - 3
SVE
37%
23%
40%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
SVE
4 - 0
GIF
82%
12%
7%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
GER
1 - 0
SVE
42%
23%
35%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Arminia Hannover
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
LSK
5 - 3
AHA
32%
23%
45%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
AHA
0 - 1
HEE
29%
24%
48%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
FTB
1 - 4
AHA
28%
21%
50%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
AHA
1 - 1
HSC
55%
21%
24%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
AHA
7 - 1
VFL
18%
20%
62%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | +4 |