Spartans vs Livingston analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
5%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
59.1%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
STI
1 - 0
SPA
25%
25%
50%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SPA
0 - 0
PET
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SPA
1 - 0
ROS
17%
21%
63%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
SPA
2 - 0
BRA
67%
20%
13%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
STR
2 - 2
SPA
21%
24%
55%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Livingston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
RAI
0 - 1
LIV
50%
24%
26%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
LIV
1 - 1
GRE
48%
27%
24%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
QUE
1 - 1
LIV
35%
26%
39%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
LIV
2 - 0
DUN
48%
27%
25%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
LIV
0 - 1
SPA
62%
21%
16%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | -1 |