Spartans vs Elgin City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
23.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
3º
7º
4º
40
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 67 |
1º
|
54.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
40 | 64 |
2º
|
33% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 62 |
3º
|
35% | |
|
|
5º
|
29 | 54 |
4º
|
37% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 52 |
5º
|
33.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 46 |
6º
|
29% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 45 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 39 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 38 |
9º
|
32% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 31 |
10º
|
66% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1.5% | 26.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
59% | 67% |
|
Mid-table
|
39.5% | 6.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
EDI
2 - 0
SPA
14%
20%
66%
|
55 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
CLY
1 - 1
SPA
25%
25%
50%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
SPA
0 - 1
EAS
50%
26%
25%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ABE
4 - 0
SPA
83%
13%
5%
|
56 | 82 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
ELG
1 - 1
SPA
27%
25%
49%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Elgin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
PET
0 - 1
ELG
51%
24%
25%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
ELG
3 - 3
EDI
73%
17%
11%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
CLY
0 - 0
ELG
36%
24%
40%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
ELG
1 - 1
SPA
27%
25%
49%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
ELG
2 - 1
BRA
50%
24%
26%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |