Cup Last 16
Global 1-2
Spartans vs Berwick Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
33.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
SPA
2 - 1
GRE
59%
21%
21%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
SPA
1 - 1
AFC
80%
13%
7%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
SPA
0 - 3
BSC
75%
15%
10%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2015 |
SPA
1 - 3
WHI
61%
20%
19%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -2 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
SPA
0 - 2
PRE
86%
10%
4%
|
51 | 20 | 31 | -1 |
Matches
Berwick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
BER
0 - 2
ELG
66%
19%
16%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
BLA
4 - 2
BER
47%
24%
29%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
BER
3 - 3
MON
77%
15%
8%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
CLY
0 - 3
BER
34%
25%
41%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2015 |
BER
3 - 0
THE
72%
17%
12%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |