UEFA Intertoto Cup Last 16
Global 2-5
Spartak Varna vs Tavriya Simferopol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
21.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2001 |
SVA
4 - 0
DYS
48%
24%
28%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2001 |
DYS
1 - 0
SVA
54%
23%
24%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2001 |
LSO
3 - 0
SVA
60%
21%
19%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2001 |
SVA
1 - 1
CSK
34%
26%
40%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2001 |
FKM
1 - 2
SVA
34%
25%
40%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Tavriya Simferopol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2001 |
NYV
0 - 2
TAV
40%
26%
34%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2001 |
TAV
1 - 2
DYN
14%
20%
66%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2001 |
STA
0 - 1
TAV
46%
25%
29%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2001 |
TAV
0 - 1
MEZ
40%
26%
34%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2001 |
SHA
5 - 0
TAV
83%
13%
5%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |