Spartak Varna vs Slavia Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
28%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
3º
7º
6º
23
8º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 76 |
1º
|
97% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 60 |
2º
|
34.5% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 58 |
3º
|
32.5% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 58 |
4º
|
27% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 52 |
5º
|
53% | |
|
|
6º
|
31 | 46 |
6º
|
39% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 44 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 42 |
8º
|
24.5% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 38 |
9º
|
26.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
23 | 38 |
10º
|
27.5% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 34 |
11º
|
28.5% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 31 |
12º
|
28% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 29 |
13º
|
34.5% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 25 |
14º
|
38% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 21 |
15º
|
45% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 18 |
16º
|
68% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
2% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
89% | 28% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
9% | 72% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2024 |
CSK
3 - 1
SVA
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2024 |
SVA
1 - 1
CSK
45%
26%
29%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2024 |
SVA
4 - 0
HEB
65%
21%
14%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
SVA
1 - 3
LUD
28%
27%
45%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
FLK
0 - 1
SVA
43%
25%
32%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Slavia Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2024 |
SSO
3 - 2
HEB
62%
23%
16%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
LUD
2 - 0
SSO
74%
16%
10%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2024 |
SSO
0 - 1
FLK
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
SSO
2 - 1
LPL
42%
27%
31%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
BVR
3 - 2
SSO
26%
27%
48%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | -1 |