Spartak Varna vs Septemvri Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
35.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
1º
4º
3º
28
4º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
34 | 10 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 9 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
25 | 8 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
28 | 6 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 5 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 4 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2023 |
BER
1 - 1
SVA
54%
25%
21%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2023 |
SVA
2 - 1
HEB
49%
25%
26%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
BVR
1 - 1
SVA
44%
27%
29%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
CVA
3 - 2
SVA
69%
21%
11%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
SVA
3 - 3
CSK
18%
25%
57%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Septemvri Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2023 |
HEB
3 - 1
SEP
30%
27%
43%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
SEP
2 - 0
OFK
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
BER
2 - 0
SEP
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
SEP
0 - 1
OFK
58%
23%
19%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2023 |
LSO
2 - 0
SEP
60%
24%
16%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |