Spartak Varna vs Septemvri Simitli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
11.1%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2022 |
HEB
2 - 1
SVA
41%
26%
33%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
SVA
0 - 1
LUD
45%
26%
30%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
LKL
0 - 3
SVA
18%
23%
60%
|
59 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
SVA
1 - 2
DOB
70%
19%
12%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2022 |
LOV
2 - 1
SVA
23%
25%
52%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Septemvri Simitli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2022 |
SEP
1 - 2
SEP
14%
23%
64%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
STR
0 - 1
SEP
60%
23%
17%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2022 |
MON
1 - 1
SEP
73%
18%
9%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2022 |
SEP
0 - 1
SPO
35%
27%
39%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
BPL
1 - 1
SEP
52%
24%
24%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |