Spartak Varna vs Septemvri Simitli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
16.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
SOZ
4 - 0
SVA
36%
25%
40%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
BVR
5 - 0
SVA
63%
22%
15%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
SVA
0 - 3
DOB
35%
28%
37%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -2 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
BAN
3 - 0
SVA
66%
20%
14%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
SVA
2 - 1
FKV
54%
26%
21%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Septemvri Simitli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
SEP
1 - 0
BVR
22%
27%
52%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
DOB
3 - 0
SEP
70%
20%
10%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
SEP
0 - 0
BAN
15%
25%
61%
|
44 | 63 | 19 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
VER
1 - 0
SEP
52%
24%
24%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -2 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
SLI
0 - 0
SEP
50%
24%
26%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |