Spartak Varna vs Septemvri Simitli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
15.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2013 |
LYU
2 - 2
SVA
62%
23%
15%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2013 |
SVA
0 - 2
PIR
49%
27%
24%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
CHA
1 - 0
SVA
42%
27%
31%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
SVA
0 - 0
SPL
34%
28%
38%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
KAL
0 - 0
SVA
44%
26%
30%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Septemvri Simitli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2013 |
SEP
0 - 2
BAN
18%
25%
56%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2013 |
VID
2 - 1
SEP
55%
24%
21%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
SEP
3 - 0
SLI
60%
22%
18%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
SHU
1 - 0
SEP
66%
20%
14%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
SEP
1 - 2
NEF
18%
25%
57%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | 0 |