Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 2-5
Spartak Varna vs Rapid Wien analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
40.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1961 |
RAP
0 - 0
SVA
83%
10%
7%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 1960 |
DUN
3 - 0
SVA
42%
24%
34%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 1960 |
SVA
4 - 1
SPS
54%
23%
23%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 1960 |
SVA
2 - 2
SEP
60%
21%
19%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1960 |
SPA
3 - 1
SVA
42%
25%
33%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Rapid Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1961 |
RAP
1 - 2
SSL
79%
12%
9%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1961 |
GRA
1 - 2
RAP
43%
22%
35%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1961 |
RAP
0 - 0
SVA
83%
10%
7%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1961 |
RAP
1 - 2
AUS
60%
18%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1961 |
VIE
2 - 4
RAP
55%
20%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |