Spartak Varna vs Rakovski 2011 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
48.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
OFK
2 - 0
SVA
77%
16%
8%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2014 |
SVA
0 - 2
LOK
35%
26%
39%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
LOK
2 - 1
SVA
67%
19%
14%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -2 |
| 03 Oct. 2014 |
SVA
1 - 2
PIR
33%
27%
40%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
BGA
1 - 0
SVA
53%
25%
23%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Rakovski 2011
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
RAK
3 - 2
BVR
43%
27%
30%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
DOB
2 - 0
RAK
47%
26%
27%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
RAK
2 - 0
BAN
27%
27%
46%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | +2 |
| 03 Oct. 2014 |
VER
0 - 1
RAK
27%
24%
50%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
RAK
4 - 1
CHB
27%
27%
46%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +1 |