Spartak Varna vs Nesebar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
23.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
DOR
0 - 1
SVA
26%
26%
48%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
SVA
1 - 0
NEF
39%
27%
34%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
LYU
0 - 0
SVA
55%
24%
21%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
SVA
1 - 0
BOT
32%
26%
43%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2011 |
SLI
2 - 1
SVA
65%
22%
13%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Nesebar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
NES
0 - 1
DOB
53%
25%
22%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2011 |
DOB
1 - 0
NES
29%
26%
46%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
ETA
0 - 1
NES
60%
24%
16%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
CHE
6 - 0
NES
63%
22%
15%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
NES
1 - 0
DOR
63%
22%
15%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | +1 |