Spartak Varna vs Neftochimic Burgas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
33.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
LYU
0 - 0
SVA
55%
24%
21%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
SVA
1 - 0
BOT
32%
26%
43%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2011 |
SLI
2 - 1
SVA
65%
22%
13%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
SVA
1 - 5
CHE
35%
27%
39%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -2 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
DOB
3 - 0
SVA
30%
27%
42%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Neftochimic Burgas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
NEF
2 - 1
DOB
74%
17%
10%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
ETA
0 - 0
NEF
49%
27%
24%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2011 |
NEF
2 - 3
NES
68%
19%
13%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
NEF
7 - 1
DOR
76%
16%
8%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
CHE
1 - 1
NEF
52%
26%
23%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |