Spartak Varna vs Lyubimets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
17.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
BOT
1 - 1
SVA
70%
18%
12%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
SVA
0 - 2
SLI
36%
27%
38%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
SVA
8 - 0
VEL
81%
13%
6%
|
52 | 23 | 29 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
SUV
1 - 0
SVA
18%
23%
59%
|
53 | 32 | 21 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2011 |
SHU
1 - 5
SVA
61%
22%
18%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Lyubimets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
LYU
4 - 0
DOB
58%
23%
19%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
ETA
1 - 0
LYU
59%
24%
17%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
SPA
2 - 0
LYU
51%
26%
23%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
LYU
2 - 3
NES
46%
26%
28%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
LUD
0 - 0
LYU
72%
19%
9%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |