Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
49.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2019 |
BGA
1 - 0
SVA
60%
22%
18%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2019 |
SVA
0 - 2
LUD
41%
26%
34%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
CSK
2 - 0
SVA
79%
15%
6%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
SVA
0 - 2
HEB
33%
26%
42%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
NEF
5 - 0
SVA
58%
22%
20%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Lokomotiv Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
LSO
1 - 0
SPA
60%
23%
17%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
OFK
0 - 1
LSO
32%
27%
41%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
BGA
0 - 3
LSO
31%
27%
42%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
LSO
2 - 0
LUD
57%
24%
19%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2019 |
CSK
2 - 0
LSO
58%
24%
19%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |