Spartak Varna vs Levski Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
12%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
12.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
57.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
18.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.8%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
13º
16º
16º
54
4º
11º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
SSO
2 - 2
SVA
70%
20%
10%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
SVA
0 - 0
CVA
18%
28%
55%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
CSK
2 - 0
SVA
80%
14%
6%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2022 |
SVA
0 - 2
LPL
18%
26%
56%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
SEP
1 - 1
SVA
63%
20%
16%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Levski Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2022 |
CVA
0 - 0
LSO
46%
27%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
LSO
0 - 0
CSK
43%
26%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
LSO
1 - 1
LPL
46%
27%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
SEP
0 - 0
LSO
29%
28%
43%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
SSO
2 - 1
LSO
39%
28%
33%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |