Spartak Varna vs Hebar Pazardzhik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
41.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
NEF
5 - 0
SVA
58%
22%
20%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2019 |
SEP
1 - 3
SVA
21%
24%
56%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
SVA
1 - 1
HIT
80%
13%
7%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
SVE
1 - 2
SVA
25%
25%
50%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
SVA
3 - 0
SUV
50%
22%
27%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Hebar Pazardzhik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
HEB
3 - 0
SPA
55%
23%
22%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2019 |
BAN
0 - 3
HEB
18%
22%
60%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
HEB
2 - 0
GER
90%
8%
2%
|
54 | 23 | 31 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2019 |
FKM
1 - 2
HEB
21%
26%
53%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
HEB
7 - 1
SPO
87%
10%
3%
|
54 | 34 | 20 | 0 |