Spartak Varna vs Levski Krumovgrad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
35%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
LOV
1 - 2
SVA
25%
28%
47%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
SVA
4 - 0
CHE
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2023 |
MON
1 - 1
SVA
39%
27%
34%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
SVA
2 - 0
STR
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
DOB
2 - 0
SVA
29%
27%
44%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Levski Krumovgrad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
SSO
2 - 0
FLK
53%
26%
20%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
FLK
0 - 0
ETA
52%
25%
24%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
FLK
1 - 0
BVR
48%
25%
27%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
HEB
0 - 0
FLK
47%
26%
27%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
FLK
1 - 3
ARK
32%
30%
38%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | -1 |