Spartak Varna vs Etar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
31.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
NES
2 - 0
SVA
46%
26%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
SVA
2 - 1
DOR
67%
21%
12%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
NEF
3 - 2
SVA
66%
20%
14%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
SVA
0 - 0
LYU
60%
23%
17%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
BOT
1 - 1
SVA
70%
18%
12%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Etar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
ETA
2 - 1
DOB
64%
22%
14%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
ETA
0 - 1
CHE
40%
27%
33%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
NES
0 - 3
ETA
45%
27%
29%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
ETA
1 - 0
DOR
65%
22%
13%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
NEF
1 - 0
ETA
58%
23%
20%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |