UEFA Intertoto Cup 1/16
Global 4-1
Spartak Varna vs Dyskobolia Grodzisk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
28.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2001 |
DYS
1 - 0
SVA
54%
23%
24%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2001 |
LSO
3 - 0
SVA
60%
21%
19%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2001 |
SVA
1 - 1
CSK
34%
26%
40%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2001 |
FKM
1 - 2
SVA
34%
25%
40%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2001 |
SVA
1 - 2
LOV
32%
26%
43%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Dyskobolia Grodzisk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2001 |
DYS
1 - 0
SVA
54%
23%
24%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2001 |
RCH
4 - 3
DYS
70%
19%
12%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2001 |
DYS
1 - 2
SLA
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2001 |
GKS
1 - 1
DYS
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2001 |
DYS
1 - 0
STO
57%
24%
20%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |