Spartak Varna vs Dobrudzha Dobrich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
21.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
ETA
3 - 2
SVA
54%
26%
21%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
SVA
0 - 1
NES
52%
25%
23%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
DOR
0 - 1
SVA
26%
26%
48%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
SVA
1 - 0
NEF
39%
27%
34%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
LYU
0 - 0
SVA
55%
24%
21%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Dobrudzha Dobrich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
CHE
1 - 0
DOB
64%
22%
15%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
DOB
0 - 0
ETA
28%
28%
44%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
DOB
0 - 4
LPL
11%
21%
68%
|
50 | 79 | 29 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
NES
0 - 1
DOB
53%
25%
22%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2011 |
DOB
1 - 0
NES
29%
26%
46%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |