Spartak Varna vs CSKA Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.9%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
44%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2009 |
SLI
0 - 1
SVA
58%
25%
17%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
SVA
0 - 0
BEL
44%
27%
29%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
LOK
1 - 1
SVA
56%
24%
20%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
LOV
2 - 1
SVA
69%
20%
11%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2008 |
SVA
0 - 0
LSO
29%
28%
42%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2009 |
LPL
1 - 3
CSK
52%
25%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
CSK
3 - 0
SLI
66%
20%
14%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
BEL
0 - 3
CSK
30%
28%
42%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2009 |
CSK
1 - 1
OFK
66%
20%
14%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
BAL
0 - 5
CSK
11%
21%
69%
|
78 | 47 | 31 | 0 |