Spartak Varna vs Cherno More Varna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
21%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
35.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
3º
7º
6º
40
3º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 76 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 58 |
2º
|
40% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 58 |
3º
|
30.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
40 | 57 |
4º
|
35% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 52 |
5º
|
48% | |
|
|
6º
|
32 | 46 |
6º
|
34% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 42 |
7º
|
16.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 41 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 40 |
9º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 38 |
10º
|
30.5% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 32 |
11º
|
31% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 31 |
12º
|
29.5% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 31 |
13º
|
36.5% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 23 |
14º
|
32% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 22 |
15º
|
42% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 17 |
16º
|
77.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
1% | 87% |
|
Next round
|
87.5% | 13% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
11.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
BVR
1 - 1
SVA
27%
26%
47%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SVA
0 - 0
LSO
32%
27%
41%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
BOT
0 - 1
SVA
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
SVA
1 - 0
ARK
46%
28%
26%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
SSO
3 - 1
SVA
44%
27%
30%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cherno More Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CVA
1 - 1
ARK
61%
24%
15%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
LUD
0 - 0
CVA
61%
22%
17%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
CVA
3 - 0
FLK
67%
21%
12%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
LPL
1 - 2
CVA
35%
30%
35%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
CVA
2 - 1
BVR
72%
19%
9%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |