Spartak Varna vs Botev Plovdiv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
49.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
LYU
1 - 2
SVA
56%
24%
20%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
SVA
0 - 1
DOB
51%
25%
24%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
CHE
4 - 0
SVA
61%
23%
17%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
SVA
0 - 0
DOB
54%
24%
22%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
ETA
3 - 2
SVA
54%
26%
21%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Botev Plovdiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
BOT
2 - 0
NEF
59%
23%
19%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
CHE
0 - 2
BOT
48%
26%
27%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
ETA
0 - 0
BOT
42%
27%
31%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
BOT
1 - 1
NES
75%
16%
9%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
BOT
0 - 3
LUD
31%
24%
45%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | -1 |