Spartak Varna vs Arda Kardzhali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
64.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
KUB
0 - 4
SVA
8%
19%
73%
|
46 | 20 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
BOT
0 - 0
SVA
9%
19%
72%
|
46 | 20 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
FTT
0 - 1
SVA
13%
20%
67%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2020 |
SVA
2 - 1
LSO
11%
18%
71%
|
45 | 66 | 21 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
SVA
2 - 0
CHE
49%
22%
29%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Arda Kardzhali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
BER
0 - 1
ARK
62%
22%
15%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
ARK
1 - 1
CSK
25%
27%
48%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2020 |
LPL
0 - 0
ARK
65%
21%
14%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
CVA
2 - 0
ARK
52%
26%
22%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2020 |
ARK
2 - 1
SSO
35%
28%
37%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |