Spartak Tambov vs Kosmos Dolgoprudny analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
49.7%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
3º
10º
7º
47
1º
9º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 65 |
1º
|
98% | |
|
|
3º
|
47 | 57 |
2º
|
43% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 57 |
3º
|
36% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 49 |
4º
|
79.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 42 |
5º
|
31% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 41 |
6º
|
28.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
32 | 39 |
7º
|
23% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 39 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 38 |
9º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 33 |
10º
|
29.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 32 |
11º
|
34% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 29 |
12º
|
58% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 22 |
13º
|
62.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 21 |
14º
|
56.5% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 20 |
15º
|
62.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 1.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 98.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Tambov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
SPA
1 - 3
DIN
16%
20%
64%
|
30 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
ATO
1 - 1
SPA
74%
16%
11%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
FAK
1 - 0
SPA
79%
14%
7%
|
30 | 68 | 38 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2023 |
MET
1 - 0
SPA
56%
22%
22%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2023 |
FAK
2 - 0
SPA
80%
14%
7%
|
30 | 68 | 38 | 0 |
Matches
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2023 |
ZVE
2 - 1
FKK
25%
23%
53%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
FKK
2 - 1
AVA
34%
24%
42%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +2 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
MET
2 - 0
FKK
47%
25%
28%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
FKK
0 - 0
DIN
30%
26%
44%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
FKS
1 - 0
FKK
36%
25%
39%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -1 |