Champions League 1/16
Global 3-2
Spartak Plovdiv vs FK Partizani analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
29.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Plovdiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1963 |
PAR
1 - 0
SPA
61%
19%
20%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 1960 |
SPA
0 - 2
SPA
52%
25%
24%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 1960 |
SPA
0 - 1
SEP
62%
19%
19%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 1960 |
SPA
0 - 3
CSK
41%
24%
35%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1960 |
BOT
1 - 1
SPA
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
FK Partizani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1963 |
PAR
1 - 0
SPA
61%
19%
20%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1962 |
PAR
1 - 1
NOR
40%
22%
38%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1962 |
NOR
2 - 0
PAR
74%
15%
11%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |