Spartak Nalchik vs Volga Novgorod analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
27%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Nalchik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
TER
2 - 0
NAL
48%
28%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
NAL
0 - 2
TOM
59%
23%
18%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
FCR
2 - 1
NAL
51%
26%
23%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
KRS
1 - 0
NAL
47%
27%
26%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2012 |
NAL
1 - 2
PER
51%
26%
23%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Volga Novgorod
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
DIN
2 - 1
VNN
70%
19%
11%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
VNN
0 - 0
KRS
49%
26%
24%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
VNN
2 - 0
FCR
44%
27%
30%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2012 |
TER
1 - 3
VNN
47%
28%
25%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2012 |
VNN
2 - 1
TER
42%
26%
33%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |