Spartak Nalchik vs Khimik Dzerzhinsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.3%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
16.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.5%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.1%
6.5%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Nalchik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2014 |
ROT
2 - 2
NAL
36%
30%
34%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2014 |
NAL
1 - 0
YAR
58%
24%
18%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2014 |
SAL
0 - 3
NAL
35%
30%
36%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
NAL
0 - 1
GAZ
55%
25%
20%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
VLA
1 - 0
NAL
48%
29%
24%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2014 |
GAZ
2 - 0
KHI
74%
18%
8%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2014 |
KHI
0 - 1
SKA
16%
25%
59%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
YEN
1 - 0
KHI
68%
21%
11%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
KHI
1 - 2
SIB
20%
26%
54%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
KHI
0 - 1
MOR
12%
22%
66%
|
52 | 73 | 21 | -1 |