Spartak Nalchik vs Dynamo Makhachkala II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
14.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
-51%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
2º
15º
11º
13
11º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 66 |
1º
|
67% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 62 |
2º
|
28.5% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 61 |
3º
|
24.5% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 59 |
4º
|
25% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 54 |
5º
|
32% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 54 |
6º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 53 |
7º
|
33.5% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 46 |
8º
|
33% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 45 |
9º
|
25.5% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 41 |
10º
|
24% | |
|
|
12º
|
29 | 40 |
11º
|
25% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 38 |
12º
|
30.5% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 37 |
13º
|
32% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 32 |
14º
|
32% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 31 |
15º
|
33% | |
|
|
17º
|
13 | 20 |
16º
|
53% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 20 |
17º
|
56.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 3.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 96.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Nalchik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2024 |
FOT
2 - 0
NAL
60%
22%
18%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2024 |
NAL
3 - 0
SKS
61%
20%
19%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
RUB
2 - 1
NAL
13%
18%
69%
|
43 | 18 | 25 | -2 |
| 31 May. 2024 |
NAL
0 - 0
ALA
79%
14%
8%
|
43 | 16 | 27 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
ANG
0 - 1
NAL
26%
27%
48%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Dynamo Makhachkala II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2024 |
DDA
1 - 2
BIO
24%
22%
54%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2024 |
SKC
3 - 0
DDA
73%
15%
12%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
DDA
1 - 3
FKP
40%
22%
38%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -2 |
| 31 May. 2024 |
DIN
3 - 2
DDA
62%
19%
20%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
DDA
0 - 2
FKK
22%
23%
55%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | -1 |