Spartak Nalchik vs Astrakhan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
8.6%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Nalchik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
MIT
1 - 2
NAL
19%
28%
53%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2014 |
NAL
0 - 3
MAS
79%
16%
5%
|
64 | 41 | 23 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2014 |
DIN
1 - 0
NAL
14%
26%
60%
|
66 | 41 | 25 | -2 |
| 13 Nov. 2014 |
NAL
1 - 0
ROT
60%
24%
16%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
NAL
3 - 0
FKT
79%
16%
6%
|
66 | 43 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
Astrakhan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
AST
3 - 0
ALA
23%
25%
53%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2014 |
ANZ
2 - 1
AST
40%
24%
37%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2014 |
AST
0 - 0
ANG
43%
24%
32%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2014 |
FKT
3 - 1
AST
51%
24%
25%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -2 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
TER
0 - 1
AST
31%
23%
46%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |