Spartak Nalchik vs Alania Vladikavkaz II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.6%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.9%
7.5%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
+24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
2º
15º
12º
16
11º
16º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 66 |
1º
|
65% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 62 |
2º
|
26.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 61 |
3º
|
27% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 59 |
4º
|
21% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 57 |
5º
|
27.5% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 56 |
6º
|
30% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 48 |
7º
|
36% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 47 |
8º
|
40% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 46 |
9º
|
34% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 41 |
10º
|
28% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 39 |
11º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
27 | 38 |
12º
|
23.5% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 36 |
13º
|
25.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 31 |
14º
|
40% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 29 |
15º
|
60% | |
|
17º
|
13 | 20 |
16º
|
47% | |
|
|
16º
|
16 | 20 |
17º
|
51.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 1.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 98.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Nalchik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
ANG
0 - 1
NAL
26%
27%
48%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
NAL
3 - 0
DMA
49%
27%
25%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +2 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
NCH
3 - 2
NAL
55%
23%
23%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
NAL
1 - 2
LEG
37%
27%
36%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
FKK
0 - 1
NAL
55%
23%
21%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Alania Vladikavkaz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
BIO
4 - 0
ALA
83%
11%
6%
|
16 | 38 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2024 |
ALA
1 - 2
SKS
25%
20%
55%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
SKC
4 - 0
ALA
83%
11%
6%
|
17 | 42 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
ALA
3 - 2
FKP
18%
19%
64%
|
14 | 33 | 19 | +3 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
DIN
0 - 1
ALA
82%
12%
6%
|
13 | 32 | 19 | +1 |