Europa League 1/16
Global 6-7
Spartak Moskva vs Werder Bremen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
23%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1987 |
SGD
1 - 0
SPA
64%
19%
17%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1987 |
SPA
3 - 0
SGD
49%
24%
27%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1986 |
SWA
2 - 0
SPA
42%
24%
34%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1986 |
SPA
1 - 0
SWA
68%
18%
13%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1986 |
SPA
5 - 1
TFC
68%
19%
13%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1987 |
MON
1 - 2
BRE
60%
21%
20%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1987 |
BRE
1 - 0
FCN
70%
18%
13%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1987 |
HOM
1 - 1
BRE
29%
26%
45%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1987 |
BRE
0 - 1
MJO
86%
10%
5%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1987 |
BRE
3 - 1
WAL
79%
14%
8%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |