Europa League 1/16
Global 0-4
Spartak Moskva vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
30.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1971 |
KOS
2 - 1
SPA
34%
23%
44%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1971 |
SPA
2 - 0
KOS
75%
14%
11%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1970 |
BAS
2 - 1
SPA
28%
22%
50%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1970 |
SPA
3 - 2
BAS
78%
13%
9%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1966 |
RAP
1 - 0
SPA
59%
20%
21%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1971 |
VST
5 - 1
BOA
76%
15%
9%
|
85 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1971 |
UFT
0 - 3
VST
15%
20%
65%
|
85 | 59 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1971 |
NÎM
2 - 1
VST
52%
23%
25%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1971 |
VST
1 - 3
SLB
42%
26%
31%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1971 |
TIR
0 - 1
VST
16%
20%
64%
|
85 | 59 | 26 | +1 |