Europa League 1/16
Global 6-4
Spartak Moskva vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
12.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1986 |
TFC
3 - 1
SPA
39%
25%
36%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1986 |
FCL
0 - 1
SPA
2%
20%
78%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1986 |
SPA
0 - 0
FCL
95%
3%
2%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1985 |
NAN
1 - 1
SPA
59%
21%
20%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1985 |
SPA
0 - 1
NAN
53%
25%
22%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1986 |
TFC
1 - 1
GIR
40%
28%
33%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1986 |
REN
0 - 0
TFC
34%
29%
37%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 1986 |
TFC
3 - 1
SPA
39%
25%
36%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1986 |
TFC
0 - 0
MET
56%
24%
20%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1986 |
NAN
2 - 1
TFC
60%
23%
17%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |