Spartak Moskva vs Akhmat Grozny analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
14.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
4º
13º
6º
5
9º
15º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
20 | 66 |
1º
|
54.5% | |
|
2º
|
18 | 61 |
2º
|
24% | |
|
3º
|
18 | 59 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
4º
|
16 | 57 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 54 |
5º
|
21% | |
|
|
5º
|
15 | 53 |
6º
|
23% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 46 |
7º
|
28% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 39 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 38 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 35 |
10º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
5 | 34 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 31 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 28 |
13º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 26 |
14º
|
23.5% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 22 |
15º
|
27% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 21 |
16º
|
36.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 75.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 18% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 6.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
SPA
3 - 0
KRS
68%
19%
13%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
SPA
3 - 0
DIN
45%
23%
32%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
KHI
1 - 3
SPA
22%
26%
52%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
GAZ
2 - 0
SPA
35%
26%
38%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2024 |
SPA
3 - 0
NAS
73%
17%
10%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Akhmat Grozny
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
TER
0 - 5
LOK
30%
25%
45%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
TER
4 - 1
OLY
68%
19%
13%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
GAZ
0 - 0
TER
51%
25%
24%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
TER
1 - 1
KRA
29%
25%
46%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
CSK
2 - 2
TER
68%
19%
13%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | +1 |